All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Zionsville Early Bird (4k) |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up |
Marion Invitational |
Whiteland Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hancock County |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conf. |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/24 |
8/28 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/24 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
407 |
474 |
513 |
529 |
467 |
549 |
457 |
445 |
450 |
433 |
434 |
359 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
474 |
513 |
529 |
467 |
459 |
457 |
445 |
450 |
433 |
434 |
359 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Zionsville Early Bird (4k) |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up |
Marion Invitational |
Whiteland Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hancock County |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conf. |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 48 |
Brenna Shaw |
11 |
19:15 |
19:25 |
19:26 |
19:44 |
19:22 |
19:29 |
19:10 |
19:04 |
19:26 |
19:36 |
19:13 |
19:01 |
19:15 |
| 108 |
Emma Mann |
10 |
19:45 |
20:09 |
19:44 |
20:22 |
20:12 |
19:38 |
19:22 |
19:17 |
20:10 |
20:38 |
20:00 |
19:31 |
|
| 278 |
Kendall Mann |
11 |
20:34 |
21:12 |
20:59 |
21:26 |
21:05 |
|
20:59 |
21:17 |
20:56 |
20:31 |
21:18 |
20:19 |
|
| 294 |
Kaylin Casner |
12 |
20:38 |
20:26 |
21:42 |
20:43 |
20:30 |
21:42 |
21:10 |
20:58 |
20:24 |
20:10 |
20:19 |
20:32 |
|
| 646 |
Emily Adam |
10 |
21:44 |
22:10 |
22:25 |
22:37 |
21:57 |
21:26 |
21:52 |
21:40 |
21:52 |
21:40 |
21:32 |
21:28 |
|
| 858 |
Caitlyn Urrutia |
10 |
22:11 |
21:59 |
21:52 |
22:04 |
22:06 |
22:04 |
22:02 |
22:09 |
22:13 |
22:44 |
22:34 |
22:12 |
|
| 1,060 |
Megan Collins |
11 |
22:38 |
23:30 |
23:20 |
22:59 |
23:55 |
23:18 |
23:06 |
23:10 |
22:41 |
22:38 |
22:55 |
22:21 |
|
| 1,448 |
Emily Santelik |
10 |
23:28 |
23:08 |
24:06 |
23:09 |
|
23:39 |
|
23:51 |
23:08 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.2% |
15.0 |
385 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
10.3 |
274 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
6.1 |
30.4 |
23.1 |
17.1 |
9.6 |
7.1 |
3.6 |
1.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.4 |
35 |
58.2 |
41.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.4 |
36 |
58.0 |
42.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brenna Shaw |
58.7% |
44.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
58.6% |
58.7% |
| Emma Mann |
4.7% |
73.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.4% |
4.5% |
| Kendall Mann |
0.2% |
132.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Kaylin Casner |
0.2% |
138.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Emily Adam |
0.2% |
189.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Caitlyn Urrutia |
0.2% |
196.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Megan Collins |
0.2% |
201.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brenna Shaw |
100% |
21.5 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Emma Mann |
100% |
44.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Kendall Mann |
100% |
80.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kaylin Casner |
100% |
82.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emily Adam |
100% |
133.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53.4% |
| Caitlyn Urrutia |
100% |
154.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.5% |
| Megan Collins |
100% |
165.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brenna Shaw |
100% |
1.0 |
50.7 |
30.4 |
17.0 |
1.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Mann |
100% |
3.4 |
0.5 |
5.5 |
20.2 |
54.0 |
14.8 |
3.6 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kendall Mann |
100% |
8.7 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
4.3 |
9.2 |
13.0 |
13.4 |
14.5 |
13.7 |
11.6 |
8.8 |
6.6 |
3.1 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kaylin Casner |
100% |
9.4 |
|
|
|
|
2.0 |
6.2 |
10.3 |
12.2 |
13.8 |
13.5 |
13.5 |
12.8 |
8.4 |
4.6 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emily Adam |
100% |
22.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
6.9 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.9 |
7.1 |
6.1 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Caitlyn Urrutia |
100% |
36.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Megan Collins |
100% |
45.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brenna Shaw |
1.0 |
52.9 |
28.5 |
17.1 |
1.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Mann |
3.4 |
0.6 |
5.6 |
21.1 |
55.7 |
15.2 |
1.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kendall Mann |
6.4 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
8.6 |
26.9 |
34.8 |
23.6 |
4.9 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kaylin Casner |
6.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
3.8 |
17.9 |
32.8 |
36.3 |
7.5 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emily Adam |
15.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.7 |
4.6 |
9.6 |
8.7 |
8.5 |
8.8 |
8.0 |
7.0 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
4.7 |
5.0 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
| Caitlyn Urrutia |
25.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
6.1 |
6.0 |
6.8 |
| Megan Collins |
33.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
|
